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ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation.

CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.The import price of the United States rose for the second consecutive month. Due to the rising fuel cost, the import price of the United States unexpectedly rose in November, rising for the second consecutive month, and geopolitical tensions pushed up the fuel price. According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Friday, US import prices rose by 0.1% month-on-month in November, which was the same as that of last month. Economists had expected a drop of 0.2%. The US Department of Labor said that the main reason for the increase in import prices in the United States last month was the increase in fuel prices. Due to the increasing tension in the Middle East, the price of imported oil rose by 0.4% in November, after a cumulative decline of 12% from July to October. The data shows that non-oil prices rose by 0.2%.

International Finance Association: In November, the net inflow of foreign investment in emerging market bonds and stock portfolios was $19.2 billion; The net outflow of foreign investment in emerging market stock markets was $11.1 billion; Debt inflows reached $30.4 billion.Dow opened up 0.1%, S&P 500 rose 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 0.5%, Broadcom rose 18.7%, and Q4 AI revenue increased 220% year-on-year. Furniture retailer RH rose 15.8% and raised its performance forecast. EVgo rose by 9.0% and was supported by a loan of $1.25 billion from the US Department of Energy. Xpeng Motors fell 3.8% and was downgraded to "sell" by UBS.Broadcom is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. Broadcom's share price rose by more than 20% at the beginning, and its total market value rose to 1.02 trillion US dollars, ranking ninth in the US stock market. After the close of the US Eastern Time on Thursday, Broadcom announced a better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial report. Not only did the profit performance be better than expected, but Broadcom's artificial intelligence revenue more than tripled this year. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. The CEO of Broadcom revealed that he is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. It is estimated that each customer will deploy 1 million AI chips in 2027.